Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 17.7¢
- Implied chance
- 17.7%
- Return if right
- 465.0%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 565.0 shares at 17.7¢ each.
YES wins: $564.97 back, a profit of $464.97. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $30.27 of that profit. Without it you would make $495.24.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 84.1¢
- Implied chance
- 84.1%
- Return if right
- 18.9%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 118.9 shares at 84.1¢ each.
NO wins: $118.91 back, a profit of $18.91. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.29 of that profit. Without it you would make $20.19.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 23, 08:52 PM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
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- More Storms Flood New Mexico; East Coast Braces for Nor'easterNBC News · 4h ago
- Fears of flooding, landslides as Hurricane Polo churns off Mexico coastFrance 24 · 5h ago
- Hurricane Polo fuels fears of landslides in Mexico as Nolo closes in on HawaiiNPR · 12h ago
- Mexico braces for Hurricane Polo gathering strengthAl Jazeera · 22h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the sec…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
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