Will "The Diplomat" win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 5.2¢
- Implied chance
- 5.2%
- Return if right
- 1823.1%
- Spread cost
- 41%
If you put in $100
You get 1923.1 shares at 5.2¢ each.
YES wins: $1923.08 back, a profit of $1823.08. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1251.53 of that profit. Without it you would make $3074.60.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.9¢
- Implied chance
- 98.9%
- Return if right
- 1.1%
- Spread cost
- 66%
If you put in $100
You get 101.1 shares at 98.9¢ each.
NO wins: $101.11 back, a profit of $1.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.14 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.25.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- "The Diplomat"3.1%
- “The Pitt”92.0%
- “The Gilded Age”0.8%
- “Your Friends & Neighbors”1.6%
- “A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms”2.3%
- “Paradise”3.7%
Latest: Aug 11, 07:33 AM1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Allison Janney on Playing the President in ‘The Diplomat,’ Her Broadway ‘Seven-Year Itch’ and the One Genre She’s Never TriedVariety · 12h ago
- 'Outstanding innings' - Litchfield hits rapid 55BBC Sport · 2d ago
- Costa Rican diplomat emerges as strong contender to be first female head of UNThe Guardian · 2d ago
- Serbia’s Vucic attempts diplomatic ‘balancing act’ with Zelensky’s visitFrance 24 · 3d ago
- David Brat bound for Australia as diplomat confirmed as next US ambassadorThe Guardian · 3d ago
- Trump Tariffs ‘Tortuous’ to Soybean Trade, China Diplomat SaysBloomberg · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will "The Diplomat" win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series
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- Will “A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?
- Will “Your Friends & Neighbors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?
- Will “The Gilded Age” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?
- Will “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?