Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 40.0¢
- Implied chance
- 40.0%
- Return if right
- 150.0%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 250.0 shares at 40.0¢ each.
YES wins: $250.00 back, a profit of $150.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.16 of that profit. Without it you would make $153.16.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 61.0¢
- Implied chance
- 61.0%
- Return if right
- 63.9%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 163.9 shares at 61.0¢ each.
NO wins: $163.93 back, a profit of $63.93. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.35 of that profit. Without it you would make $65.29.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Wisconsin considers democratic socialist for governor amid US wave of progressive winsThe Guardian · 14m ago
- Wisconsin's Democratic showdown and more primary races to watch todayCBS News · 15m ago
- In test of Democratic Party's future, next stop is in battleground WisconsinABC News · 1h ago
- Wisconsin’s Roller Coaster of a Democratic Primary Race for Governor Crashes to an EndThe New York Times · 13h ago
- Wisconsin’s Dem establishment is scrambling to stop a democratic socialist TuesdayPolitico · 2d ago
- Wisconsin gubernatorial hopeful David Crowley says he's a "get stuff done Democrat" ahead of primaryCBS News · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.