Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 86.0¢
- Implied chance
- 86.0%
- Return if right
- 16.3%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 116.3 shares at 86.0¢ each.
YES wins: $116.28 back, a profit of $16.28. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.37 of that profit. Without it you would make $17.65.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 16.0¢
- Implied chance
- 16.0%
- Return if right
- 525.0%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 625.0 shares at 16.0¢ each.
NO wins: $625.00 back, a profit of $525.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $41.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $566.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- New polling from Maine, Michigan and New Hampshire shows mixed results for DemocratsCBS News · 6h ago
- Democrats leading in Michigan, New Hampshire Senate races: SurveyThe Hill · 16h ago
- New Hampshire Democrat Cinde Warmington says Canada trade war is "crushing the people of our state"CBS News · 15d ago
- Shaheen wins Democratic primary for New Hampshire House seat left open by PappasThe Hill · 16d ago
- Pappas-Sununu showdown set in Democrats' must-win Senate race: 3 takeaways from New HampshireThe Hill · 16d ago
- Congressman Chris Pappas wins New Hampshire Democratic Senate primaryThe Guardian · 16d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.