Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 96.0¢
- Implied chance
- 96.0%
- Return if right
- 4.2%
- Spread cost
- 12%
If you put in $100
You get 104.2 shares at 96.0¢ each.
YES wins: $104.17 back, a profit of $4.17. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.55 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.71.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 5.0¢
- Implied chance
- 5.0%
- Return if right
- 1900.0%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 2000.0 shares at 5.0¢ each.
NO wins: $2000.00 back, a profit of $1900.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $222.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $2122.22.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- “When Medicaid programs for homeless or expecting mothers in states like Minnesota and Wisconsin, they began to fall apart because the money that you had paid to support those expectant mothers was going to fraudsters. Here’s what the Democrats did: They refused to prosecute the crime.”The New York Times · 14d ago
- Tafoya makes 'common sense' pitch to disaffected Democrats as she vows to fight Minnesota’s ‘socialist lurch’Fox News · 1mo ago
- Ilhan Omar projected winner of Democratic primary in Minnesota's 5th districtCBS News · 1mo ago
- Peggy Flanagan projected winner of Democratic primary for Senate in MinnesotaCBS News · 1mo ago
- Progressive Peggy Flanagan wins Democratic Senate primary in MinnesotaNPR · 1mo ago
- Peggy Flanagan, a Progressive, Wins the Democratic Senate Primary in MinnesotaThe New York Times · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.