Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 69.0¢
- Implied chance
- 69.0%
- Return if right
- 44.9%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 144.9 shares at 69.0¢ each.
YES wins: $144.93 back, a profit of $44.93. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.06 of that profit. Without it you would make $45.99.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 32.0¢
- Implied chance
- 32.0%
- Return if right
- 212.5%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 312.5 shares at 32.0¢ each.
NO wins: $312.50 back, a profit of $212.50. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.96 of that profit. Without it you would make $217.46.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Democrats investigating efforts to deport service members, familiesThe Hill · 32m ago
- Republican, Democratic strategists on controversial campaign funding ahead of midtermsCBS News · 1h ago
- Mamdani: Democratic socialists 'going back to what the party used to be'The Hill · 2h ago
- Minnesota’s Democratic Senate Primary Pits Angie Craig Against Peggy FlanaganThe New York Times · 2h ago
- Johnson turns Democrats’ socialist civil war into new weapon for midtermsFox News · 2h ago
- Can Democrats still win if socialists take over their party?The Hill · 2h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.