Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 60.0¢
- Implied chance
- 60.0%
- Return if right
- 66.7%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 166.7 shares at 60.0¢ each.
YES wins: $166.67 back, a profit of $66.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $68.07.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 41.0¢
- Implied chance
- 41.0%
- Return if right
- 143.9%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 243.9 shares at 41.0¢ each.
NO wins: $243.90 back, a profit of $143.90. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.01 of that profit. Without it you would make $146.91.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Democratic Michigan AG accuses her party of 'absolutely not' doing enough to counter antisemitismFox News · 10m ago
- As Francesca Hong surged, Democratic rivals held their fire: From the Politics DeskNBC News · 25m ago
- Mamdani clashes with Democratic Socialists' push to abolish police and prisonsFox News · 36m ago
- Joe Scarborough goes scorched earth on Democrats not separating themselves from Hasan PikerFox News · 54m ago
- Senate Democrats unveil cybersecurity bill after attacks on water infrastructureThe Hill · 2h ago
- 'I'll never bow down': Montana Democratic Senate nominee refuses to pave way for independentPolitico · 3h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.