Will the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 63.0¢
- Implied chance
- 63.0%
- Return if right
- 58.7%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 158.7 shares at 63.0¢ each.
YES wins: $158.73 back, a profit of $58.73. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.27 of that profit. Without it you would make $60.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 38.0¢
- Implied chance
- 38.0%
- Return if right
- 163.2%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 263.2 shares at 38.0¢ each.
NO wins: $263.16 back, a profit of $163.16. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $166.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Democrats sue US President Trump over taxpayer-funded ad campaignAl Jazeera · 30m ago
- National Democrats invest more heavily in Gina Hinojosa after Pritzker supportCBS News · 50m ago
- Leon Botstein resigns from Bard roles as key Democrat demands investigation into Epstein linksThe Guardian · 3h ago
- Democrats sue to stop Trump from using taxpayer funds for self-promoting adsThe Guardian · 3h ago
- Democrats' momentum to take Senate growing on KalshiCBS News · 3h ago
- Democratic National Committee sues to stop taxpayer-funded Trump adsThe Washington Post · 4h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate rac…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Denton County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Denton County.