Will the Democrats win Fort Bend County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 93.0¢
- Implied chance
- 93.0%
- Return if right
- 7.5%
- Spread cost
- 13%
If you put in $100
You get 107.5 shares at 93.0¢ each.
YES wins: $107.53 back, a profit of $7.53. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.17 of that profit. Without it you would make $8.70.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 9.0¢
- Implied chance
- 9.0%
- Return if right
- 1011.1%
- Spread cost
- 12%
If you put in $100
You get 1111.1 shares at 9.0¢ each.
NO wins: $1111.11 back, a profit of $1011.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $138.89 of that profit. Without it you would make $1150.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Democratic leaders blindsided by two members who bailed out JohnsonThe Hill · 58m ago
- Two Democrats, in highly unusual move, cross the aisle to save GOP billsThe Hill · 1h ago
- Two Democrats rescue Mike Johnson's anti-socialism resolution in stunning moveFox News · 2h ago
- Democrats blink in shutdown fight, hand Trump and GOP win before midtermsFox News · 2h ago
- California Democrats pass more than 20 bills to curtail AI and social mediaNBC News · 3h ago
- House Democrats demand answers over ICE’s $16.7M purchase of 6,000 electric shock glovesThe Hill · 4h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Democrats win Fort Bend County in the Texas Senate …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.