Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?

Q: Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?

Prediction markets currently price this at 80%. A YES share costs 80.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 25.0% over 7.7mo.

NBA: Team to Make Playoffs$18k liquidity$249 volumecloses 7.7mo

NBASportsBasketball

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 80.0¢
Implied chance: 80.0%
Return if right: 25.0%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 125.0 shares at 80.0¢ each.

YES wins: $125.00 back, a profit of $25.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.58 of that profit. Without it you would make $26.58.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 22.0¢
Implied chance: 22.0%
Return if right: 354.5%
Spread cost: 6%

If you put in $100

You get 454.5 shares at 22.0¢ each.

NO wins: $454.55 back, a profit of $354.55. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $21.65 of that profit. Without it you would make $376.19.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 24, 03:31 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

James Harden agrees to three-year, $97m Cleveland Cavaliers deal: ReportAl Jazeera · 1mo ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2027 NBA Playoffs per the rules of the NBA. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2027 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Reaching the Play-In Tournament does not, by itself, qualify a team for the Playoffs and will not resolve this market to "Yes." A team must win its way through the Play-In into the 7-seed or 8-seed to qualify. Losing in the Play-In Tournament (or any associated tiebreaker) resolves this market to "No." If the 2027 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after May 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the full 16-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by the NBA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.