Will the Chicago Cubs clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?

Q: Will the Chicago Cubs clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?

Prediction markets currently price this at 100%. A YES share costs 99.9¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 0.1% over 4d.

MLB: Team to make postseason$8k liquidity$6k volumecloses 4d

MLBbaseballplayoffsPostseasonSportsRewards 50, 4.5, 20

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 99.9¢
Implied chance: 99.9%
Return if right: 0.1%
Spread cost: 92%

If you put in $100

You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.

YES wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.11 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.21.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 2.3¢
Implied chance: 2.3%
Return if right: 4247.8%
Spread cost: 48%

If you put in $100

You get 4347.8 shares at 2.3¢ each.

NO wins: $4347.83 back, a profit of $4247.83. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3985.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $8233.33.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 24, 08:52 PM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Chicago Cubs clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseas…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2026 MLB Playoffs per the rules of the MLB. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will not be considered part of the MLB Playoffs. If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after October 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the full 12-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by MLB within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.