Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 12.0¢
- Implied chance
- 12.0%
- Return if right
- 733.3%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 833.3 shares at 12.0¢ each.
YES wins: $833.33 back, a profit of $733.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $36.23 of that profit. Without it you would make $769.57.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 89.0¢
- Implied chance
- 89.0%
- Return if right
- 12.4%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 112.4 shares at 89.0¢ each.
NO wins: $112.36 back, a profit of $12.36. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.63 of that profit. Without it you would make $12.99.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 2, 07:35 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Rubio meets with Russia's Lavrov over war in UkraineCBS News · 11d ago
- Trump to meet with Zelensky as Russia-Ukraine attacks intensifyAxios · 14d ago
- Trump and Putin held call over Witkoff-Kushner meeting and state of Ukraine war, Russia saysCBS News · 26d ago
- US envoys meet Putin: What’s behind latest diplomacy on Russia-Ukraine war?Al Jazeera · 29d ago
- Trump envoys set for Zelensky meeting after Russia-Ukraine peace talks with PutinThe Hill · 29d ago
- Witkoff hails 'meaningful discussions' on Ukraine-Russia war in Zelenskyy meetingABC News · 29d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the Octo…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.