Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 20.0¢
- Implied chance
- 20.0%
- Return if right
- 400.0%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 500.0 shares at 20.0¢ each.
YES wins: $500.00 back, a profit of $400.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $40.54 of that profit. Without it you would make $440.54.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 83.0¢
- Implied chance
- 83.0%
- Return if right
- 20.5%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 120.5 shares at 83.0¢ each.
NO wins: $120.48 back, a profit of $20.48. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $22.70.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 06:05 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- ‘We have no one’: Palestinians react to Israel’s rejection of Gaza planAl Jazeera · 2h ago
- Anas al-Sharif: One year on from Israel’s killing of Al Jazeera reporterAl Jazeera · 2h ago
- Anguished locals watch as Israel demolishes homes in southern LebanonAl Jazeera · 9h ago
- Israel confirms death of Palestinian detainee, nearly two years lateAl Jazeera · 15h ago
- Netanyahu says Israel rejects Trump’s Gaza peace planDeutsche Welle · 19h ago
- Hasan Piker stands by 'intentionally provocative' claims that Hamas is 'a thousand times better' than IsraelFox News · 20h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its September 1, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/# This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their September 1, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.