Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 21.0¢
- Implied chance
- 21.0%
- Return if right
- 376.2%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 476.2 shares at 21.0¢ each.
YES wins: $476.19 back, a profit of $376.19. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $11.61 of that profit. Without it you would make $387.80.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 80.0¢
- Implied chance
- 80.0%
- Return if right
- 25.0%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 125.0 shares at 80.0¢ each.
NO wins: $125.00 back, a profit of $25.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.79 of that profit. Without it you would make $25.79.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 23, 09:37 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Israel moves to bar both main Arab lists from October electionAl Jazeera · 1h ago
- New York Times Sued by Shareholders Over Anti-Israel BiasThe Hollywood Reporter · 4h ago
- New York Times faces shareholder lawsuit over alleged anti-Israel biasFox News · 6h ago
- New York Times faces shareholder lawsuit over alleged anti-Israel biasFox News · 6h ago
- Netherlands to return to Eurovision as it drops boycott over Israel participationSky News · 8h ago
- Israel’s ambassador to the US says son injured in West Bank car-rammingAl Jazeera · 8h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s October monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its October 21, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2026/ This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their October 21, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.