Will the Atlanta Braves win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Q: Will the Atlanta Braves win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Prediction markets currently price this at 30%. A YES share costs 30.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 233.3% over 1.5mo.

MLB: Team to win 100+ games$2k liquidity$580 volumecloses 1.5mo

MLBSportsbaseball

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 30.0¢
Implied chance: 30.0%
Return if right: 233.3%
Spread cost: 28%

If you put in $100

You get 333.3 shares at 30.0¢ each.

YES wins: $333.33 back, a profit of $233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $92.20 of that profit. Without it you would make $325.53.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 83.0¢
Implied chance: 83.0%
Return if right: 20.5%
Spread cost: 33%

If you put in $100

You get 120.5 shares at 83.0¢ each.

NO wins: $120.48 back, a profit of $20.48. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $10.24 of that profit. Without it you would make $30.72.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 13, 11:41 PM5 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Chris Sale and Gerrit Cole set up a pitching duel as Atlanta Braves host the New York YankeesFox News · 5d ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Atlanta Braves win 100 or more games during the 202…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will be considered part of the MLB regular season. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed team has won 100 or more games within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.