Will the 2027 UEFA Champions League winner come from Italy?

Q: Will the 2027 UEFA Champions League winner come from Italy?

Prediction markets currently price this at 7%. A YES share costs 6.9¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 1349.3% over 9.2mo.

UEFA Champions League 2027: Home country of champion$970 liquidity$82 volumecloses 9.2mo

UCLSoccerSportsHide From NewChampions League

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 6.9¢
Implied chance: 6.9%
Return if right: 1349.3%
Spread cost: 44%

If you put in $100

You get 1449.3 shares at 6.9¢ each.

YES wins: $1449.28 back, a profit of $1349.28. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1050.72 of that profit. Without it you would make $2400.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 98.9¢
Implied chance: 98.9%
Return if right: 1.1%
Spread cost: 73%

If you put in $100

You get 101.1 shares at 98.9¢ each.

NO wins: $101.11 back, a profit of $1.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.17.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 24, 03:45 AM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the 2027 UEFA Champions League winner come from Italy?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the home nation of the 2027 UEFA Champions League winner. If at any point it becomes impossible for any club from the listed country to win the 2027 UEFA Champions League (e.g. they are all eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the 2027 UEFA Champions League champion has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.