Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 5.9¢
- Implied chance
- 5.9%
- Return if right
- 1594.9%
- Spread cost
- 12%
If you put in $100
You get 1694.9 shares at 5.9¢ each.
YES wins: $1694.92 back, a profit of $1594.92. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $209.85 of that profit. Without it you would make $1804.76.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 95.4¢
- Implied chance
- 95.4%
- Return if right
- 4.8%
- Spread cost
- 13%
If you put in $100
You get 104.8 shares at 95.4¢ each.
NO wins: $104.82 back, a profit of $4.82. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.72 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.54.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 8, 12:01 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Fraudster jailed for using 10K bots and AI songs to outstream Taylor SwiftArs Technica · 6h ago
- WATCH: Taylor Swift's 'Patient Zero' debuts at No. 1ABC News · 1d ago
- Raiders fan takes shot at Taylor Swift's looks with sign at Chiefs game, shredded NFL refs & parents gone wildFox News · 1d ago
- Taylor Swift’s ‘Patient Zero’ Bumps ‘Choosin’ Texas’ Out of No. 1 on Hot 100; ‘Encore’ Tracks Fill Four Out of Five Top SlotsVariety · 2d ago
- Taylor Swift’s ‘Encore’ Edition Boosts ‘The Life of a Showgirl’ Back to No. 1 for First Time Since January, Adding a 13th Week on TopVariety · 3d ago
- Taylor Swift pops into ‘SNL’ to joke around with host Dakota JohnsonNBC News · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by Oct…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift has a monthly listeners of greater than or equal to the specified figure according to Spotify at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the specified artist's total. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
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