Will Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 19.0¢
- Implied chance
- 19.0%
- Return if right
- 426.3%
- Spread cost
- 52%
If you put in $100
You get 526.3 shares at 19.0¢ each.
YES wins: $526.32 back, a profit of $426.32. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $454.08 of that profit. Without it you would make $880.39.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.6¢
- Implied chance
- 98.6%
- Return if right
- 1.4%
- Spread cost
- 87%
If you put in $100
You get 101.4 shares at 98.6¢ each.
NO wins: $101.42 back, a profit of $1.42. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $9.94 of that profit. Without it you would make $11.36.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 10:13 PM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- White House, Trump campaign remove Taylor Swift songs from postsThe Hill · 8h ago
- Taylor Swift songs removed from White House social media after Trump administration used themCBS News · 8h ago
- Taylor Swift songs removed from Trump and White House’s social media postsThe Guardian · 1d ago
- Taylor Swift Song ‘August’ Removed From Trump TikTok VideoVariety · 3d ago
- A Man Is Trapped Inside a Netflix Billboard Above Sunset BoulevardThe Hollywood Reporter · 3d ago
- Charles Barkley declined Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift's wedding invitation for a simple reasonFox News · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the number 1 artist on the Billboard 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart. If Billboard does not publish a 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Billboard Year-End 2026 Top Artists Chart, once it becomes available.
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