Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 18.5¢
- Implied chance
- 18.5%
- Return if right
- 440.5%
- Spread cost
- 1%
If you put in $100
You get 540.5 shares at 18.5¢ each.
YES wins: $540.54 back, a profit of $440.54. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $446.45.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 81.9¢
- Implied chance
- 81.9%
- Return if right
- 22.1%
- Spread cost
- 1%
If you put in $100
You get 122.1 shares at 81.9¢ each.
NO wins: $122.10 back, a profit of $22.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.30 of that profit. Without it you would make $22.40.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
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How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count. An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.