Will Steven Del Duca win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 94.0¢
- Implied chance
- 94.0%
- Return if right
- 6.4%
- Spread cost
- 21%
If you put in $100
You get 106.4 shares at 94.0¢ each.
YES wins: $106.38 back, a profit of $6.38. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.73 of that profit. Without it you would make $8.11.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 9.0¢
- Implied chance
- 9.0%
- Return if right
- 1011.1%
- Spread cost
- 18%
If you put in $100
You get 1111.1 shares at 9.0¢ each.
NO wins: $1111.11 back, a profit of $1011.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $222.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $1233.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 9, 03:09 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Vaughan intrigued by dynamic as Pietersen gets England white-ball roleBBC Sport · 1mo ago
- Ashes tickets pricing people out of game - VaughanBBC Sport · 1mo ago
- Vaughan backs Lawrence for extended run in England teamBBC Sport · 1mo ago
- Vaughan criticises England's 'excuses' after Carse incidentBBC Sport · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Steven Del Duca win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The 2026 Vaughan, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vaughan, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vaughan, Ontario.