Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?

California Governor Election Winner$324k liquidity$1.6M volumecloses 2.8mo
California MidtermGovernor midtermsCalifornia GovernorElectionsPoliticsUS Election
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Cost
0.1¢
Implied chance
0.1%
Return if right
99900.0%
Spread cost
n/a

If you put in $100

You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.

YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%0%Aug 3Aug 10

Latest: Aug 10, 12:30 PM9 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election i”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

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