Will Stefanos Kasselakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.5¢
- Implied chance
- 0.5%
- Return if right
- 19900.0%
- Spread cost
- 40%
If you put in $100
You get 20000.0 shares at 0.5¢ each.
YES wins: $20000.00 back, a profit of $19900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $13333.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $33233.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.9¢
- Implied chance
- 99.9%
- Return if right
- 0.1%
- Spread cost
- 67%
If you put in $100
You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.
NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.20 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.30.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 06:28 PM6 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Greece gains ground against blaze near AthensFrance 24 · 6d ago
- Firefighters in Greece gain ground against wildfires near AthensFrance 24 · 6d ago
- Greece's wildfires claim lives as firefighters struggle to contain flamesFrance 24 · 6d ago
- Europe's record-breaking heat sparks wildfires, drought in France, Greece and the UKFrance 24 · 7d ago
- Firefighting helicopters collide in Greece amid European wildfire crisisCBS News · 7d ago
- 2 helicopters collide while putting out fires in GreeceCBS News · 7d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Stefanos Kasselakis be the next Prime Minister of Greec…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Greece following the next parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in by the specified date. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Greek government.
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