Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 36.0¢
- Implied chance
- 36.0%
- Return if right
- 177.8%
- Spread cost
- 53%
If you put in $100
You get 277.8 shares at 36.0¢ each.
YES wins: $277.78 back, a profit of $177.78. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $198.41 of that profit. Without it you would make $376.19.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 94.0¢
- Implied chance
- 94.0%
- Return if right
- 6.4%
- Spread cost
- 76%
If you put in $100
You get 106.4 shares at 94.0¢ each.
NO wins: $106.38 back, a profit of $6.38. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $20.20 of that profit. Without it you would make $26.58.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 11, 08:30 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Germany news: Berlin to step up drone security researchDeutsche Welle · 3d ago
- Berlin clubs struggle as drink sales dry up and costs riseDeutsche Welle · 4d ago
- ‘Babylon Berlin’ Going Out With a Bang, and A Warning for DemocracyThe Hollywood Reporter · 6d ago
- Hundreds of thousands attend Pride events in UK and mainland Europe after deadly Berlin attackSky News · 10d ago
- Berlin Pride attack: Are German juvenile courts too lenient?Deutsche Welle · 12d ago
- German Muslims are alarmed by the Islamist terror attack in BerlinDeutsche Welle · 13d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.