Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 26.0¢
- Implied chance
- 26.0%
- Return if right
- 284.6%
- Spread cost
- 20%
If you put in $100
You get 384.6 shares at 26.0¢ each.
YES wins: $384.62 back, a profit of $284.62. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $69.93 of that profit. Without it you would make $354.55.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 82.0¢
- Implied chance
- 82.0%
- Return if right
- 22.0%
- Spread cost
- 22%
If you put in $100
You get 122.0 shares at 82.0¢ each.
NO wins: $121.95 back, a profit of $21.95. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.25 of that profit. Without it you would make $28.21.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 25, 11:07 PM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Canada’s Oscar Entry, Berlin Prizewinner ‘Nina Roza’ Acquired in U.S. by Dekanalog (EXCLUSIVE)Variety · 1d ago
- Germany news: Berlin officially withdraws Olympics bidDeutsche Welle · 1d ago
- Elif Eralp: ‘Germany’s Zohran Mamdani’ who vows to be a mayor for all BerlinersThe Guardian · 2d ago
- Berlin Airport briefly suspends flights over drone sightingDeutsche Welle · 2d ago
- Could a Left Party government in Berlin expropriate large real estate companies?Deutsche Welle · 2d ago
- Munich, Berlin, Cologne-Rhine-Ruhr – Germany's three Olympic candidatesDeutsche Welle · 3d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.