Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place$37k liquidity$23k volumecloses 27d
GermanyPoliticsElectionsGerman ElectionsSaxony-AnhaltGlobal Elections
Trade on Polymarket
Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

Create an account to follow this trade

We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
0.3¢
Implied chance
0.3%
Return if right
33233.3%
Spread cost
17%

If you put in $100

You get 33333.3 shares at 0.3¢ each.

YES wins: $33333.33 back, a profit of $33233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6666.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $39900.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

Create an account to follow this trade

We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
99.8¢
Implied chance
99.8%
Return if right
0.2%
Spread cost
20%

If you put in $100

You get 100.2 shares at 99.8¢ each.

NO wins: $100.20 back, a profit of $0.20. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.25.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%0%98%Aug 3Aug 10

Latest: Aug 10, 04:21 PM5 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhal”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).

Other outcomes in Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

Create an account to follow markets

Star any market and we will email you when something happens to it.

Free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.