Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Q: Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Prediction markets currently price this at 0%. A YES share costs 0.2¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 49900.0% over 1.7mo.

3rd Largest Company end of September?$2k liquidity$70 volumecloses 1.7mo

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 0.2¢
Implied chance: 0.2%
Return if right: 49900.0%
Spread cost: 25%

If you put in $100

You get 50000.0 shares at 0.2¢ each.

YES wins: $50000.00 back, a profit of $49900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16666.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $66566.67.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 99.9¢
Implied chance: 99.9%
Return if right: 0.1%
Spread cost: 33%

If you put in $100

You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.

NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.15.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Aug 10, 02:05 PM3 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.