Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 14.0¢
- Implied chance
- 14.0%
- Return if right
- 614.3%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 714.3 shares at 14.0¢ each.
YES wins: $714.29 back, a profit of $614.29. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $26.46 of that profit. Without it you would make $640.74.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 87.0¢
- Implied chance
- 87.0%
- Return if right
- 14.9%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 114.9 shares at 87.0¢ each.
NO wins: $114.94 back, a profit of $14.94. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.66 of that profit. Without it you would make $15.61.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 11, 06:18 AM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Dem Gov Maura Healey signs sweeping Massachusetts bill allowing abortions up to birthFox News · 5h ago
- Masked helmeted prowler stalks Massachusetts mansion before slipping into woods in wealthy town: ‘It’s creepy’Fox News · 5d ago
- Tiger shark caught off Massachusetts could be sign of warming watersABC News · 7d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ma…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.