Will Senegal win AFCON 2027?

Q: Will Senegal win AFCON 2027?

Prediction markets currently price this at 13%. A YES share costs 12.5¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 700.0% over 9.8mo.

AFCON 2027 Winner$2k liquidity$3k volumecloses 9.8mo

AfconSoccerSportsHide From NewAfrica Cup of Nations

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 12.5¢
Implied chance: 12.5%
Return if right: 700.0%
Spread cost: 5%

If you put in $100

You get 800.0 shares at 12.5¢ each.

YES wins: $800.00 back, a profit of $700.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $33.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $733.33.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 88.5¢
Implied chance: 88.5%
Return if right: 13.0%
Spread cost: 5%

If you put in $100

You get 113.0 shares at 88.5¢ each.

NO wins: $112.99 back, a profit of $12.99. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.64 of that profit. Without it you would make $13.64.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 24, 03:26 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Senegal win AFCON 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations per the rules of CAF (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from CAF; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.