Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?

MLB: 2026 AL West Champion$5k liquidity$73k volumecloses 2.0mo
American LeagueMLBAL WestbaseballdivisionSports
Trade on Polymarket
Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
17.0¢
Implied chance
17.0%
Return if right
488.2%
Spread cost
24%

If you put in $100

You get 588.2 shares at 17.0¢ each.

YES wins: $588.24 back, a profit of $488.24. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $152.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $640.74.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
90.0¢
Implied chance
90.0%
Return if right
11.1%
Spread cost
29%

If you put in $100

You get 111.1 shares at 90.0¢ each.

NO wins: $111.11 back, a profit of $11.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.50 of that profit. Without it you would make $15.61.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%14%44%37%Jul 11Aug 10

Latest: Aug 10, 10:34 PM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League West division. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League West division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other outcomes in MLB: 2026 AL West Champion

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