Will Scott Brown be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 3.9¢
- Implied chance
- 3.9%
- Return if right
- 2464.1%
- Spread cost
- 39%
If you put in $100
You get 2564.1 shares at 3.9¢ each.
YES wins: $2564.10 back, a profit of $2464.10. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1602.56 of that profit. Without it you would make $4066.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.1¢
- Implied chance
- 99.1%
- Return if right
- 0.9%
- Spread cost
- 63%
If you put in $100
You get 100.9 shares at 99.1¢ each.
NO wins: $100.91 back, a profit of $0.91. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.55 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.46.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 02:16 PM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
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How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.