Will Sameera Ali win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 20.0¢
- Implied chance
- 20.0%
- Return if right
- 400.0%
- Spread cost
- 12%
If you put in $100
You get 500.0 shares at 20.0¢ each.
YES wins: $500.00 back, a profit of $400.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $55.56 of that profit. Without it you would make $455.56.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 84.0¢
- Implied chance
- 84.0%
- Return if right
- 19.0%
- Spread cost
- 13%
If you put in $100
You get 119.0 shares at 84.0¢ each.
NO wins: $119.05 back, a profit of $19.05. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.90 of that profit. Without it you would make $21.95.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Sameera Ali18.5%
- Gord Krantz47.5%
- George Minakakis24.5%
- Zainab Azim6.9%
- Nadeem Akbar5.0%
- Maliha K. Ahmed5.1%
Latest: Sep 24, 02:23 AM4 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersHeadlines are matched on the names in “Will Sameera Ali win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The 2026 Milton, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Milton, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Milton, Ontario.
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- Will Zainab Azim win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?
- Will Maliha K. Ahmed win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?
- Will Nadeem Akbar win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?
- Will George Minakakis win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?