Will Samara win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 5.2¢
- Implied chance
- 5.2%
- Return if right
- 1823.1%
- Spread cost
- 31%
If you put in $100
You get 1923.1 shares at 5.2¢ each.
YES wins: $1923.08 back, a profit of $1823.08. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $816.65 of that profit. Without it you would make $2639.73.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.9¢
- Implied chance
- 97.9%
- Return if right
- 2.1%
- Spread cost
- 43%
If you put in $100
You get 102.1 shares at 97.9¢ each.
NO wins: $102.15 back, a profit of $2.15. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.64 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.79.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Samara2.9%
- Renan Santos3.5%
- Veterinário Wilson Grassi1.8%
- Hertz Dias3.8%
- Pablo Marçal3.9%
- Rui Costa Pimenta3.3%
Latest: Aug 17, 08:13 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Lula and Bolsonaro’s son launch rival bids for Brazil presidencyAl Jazeera · 6h ago
- Brazil: Lula, Bolsonaro return to strongholds to launch runs for presidentAl Jazeera · 1d ago
- Brazil’s Lula launches historic fourth term bid – but son of jailed Bolsonaro stands in his wayThe Guardian · 1d ago
- Brazil election: Lula and the new face of Bolsonaro's rightFrance 24 · 1d ago
- Nu Holdings Banks More Than Half the Adults in BrazilYahoo Finance · 2d ago
- Ukraine attacks Russian air base and rocket plant in Samara regionFrance 24 · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Samara win the most votes in the next Brazil presidenti…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Other outcomes in Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amazonas
- Will Renan Santos win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
- Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
- Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
- Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
- Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
- Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
- Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
- Will Edmilson Costa win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
- Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
- Will Zema win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
- Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?