Will Sabina Matos be the Rhode Island Lieutenant Governor Democratic nominee?

Q: Will Sabina Matos be the Rhode Island Lieutenant Governor Democratic nominee?

Prediction markets currently price this at 81%. A YES share costs 81.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 23.5% over 8d.

Rhode Island Lieutenant Governor Democratic Primary Winner$29 liquidity$20 volumecloses 8d

PoliticsElectionsPrimariesUS Electionprimary electionsDemocratic Primary

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 81.0¢
Implied chance: 81.0%
Return if right: 23.5%
Spread cost: 82%

If you put in $100

You get 123.5 shares at 81.0¢ each.

YES wins: $123.46 back, a profit of $23.46. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $109.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $132.56.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 95.0¢
Implied chance: 95.0%
Return if right: 5.3%
Spread cost: 93%

If you put in $100

You get 105.3 shares at 95.0¢ each.

NO wins: $105.26 back, a profit of $5.26. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $70.18 of that profit. Without it you would make $75.44.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Sep 2, 08:23 AM

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 election for Lieutenant Governor of Rhode Island. The Democratic Primary is scheduled to take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.