Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?

• Russia dismisses reports of second plague case as ‘false information’Al Jazeera · 42m ago
• WHO questions Russia: "If plague is ruled out, what did she actually die from?"CBS News · 1h ago
• WHO officials say unclear how Russia plague lab worker diedABC News · 2h ago
• Tillis criticizes Trump advisers for work with Russia-aligned Bosnia groupThe Hill · 3h ago
• The WHO seeks more details on the death of a plague research lab employee in RussiaNPR · 3h ago
• UN health agency wants more details from Russia on suspected pneumonic plague caseFrance 24 · 4h ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.386699° N, 37.105096° E in Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading under the following layers will qualify: - Assessed Russian-Controlled Terrain - Assessed Russian Advances Shading under the following layers will not qualify: - Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas - Claimed Russian Territory Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded under a qualifying layer on the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Intersection Location in Shevchenko: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko1.png Shevchenko Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shevchenko2.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Fhf9PMmJMZ51qrqT9 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Source: https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375