Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 31.5¢
- Implied chance
- 31.5%
- Return if right
- 217.5%
- Spread cost
- 1%
If you put in $100
You get 317.5 shares at 31.5¢ each.
YES wins: $317.46 back, a profit of $217.46. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.54 of that profit. Without it you would make $220.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 69.0¢
- Implied chance
- 69.0%
- Return if right
- 44.9%
- Spread cost
- 1%
If you put in $100
You get 144.9 shares at 69.0¢ each.
NO wins: $144.93 back, a profit of $44.93. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.53 of that profit. Without it you would make $45.45.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Russell Fry31.3%
- Darline Graham Nordone39.1%
- Ralph Norman23.5%
- Mark Lynch0.1%
- Pamela Evette0.1%
- Nancy Mace0.1%
Latest: Aug 10, 01:42 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Will Darline Graham face the same fate Pamela Evette did in South Carolina?Politico · 23h ago
- Darline Graham tests value of a famous name vs. lack of experience in South Carolina primaryThe Hill · 1d ago
- DARLINE GRAHAM: I'm South Carolina's newest senator. This is who I am and what I believeFox News · 5d ago
- Four takeaways from the South Carolina GOP Senate debateThe Hill · 6d ago
- Watch live: Nexstar's South Carolina GOP Senate primary debateThe Hill · 6d ago
- What It Takes to Retire to South Carolina’s Beaches at 62 on $850,000 and Skip Florida EntirelyYahoo Finance · 6d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff. If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election. If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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