Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 2, 04:06 PM9 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Brazil: The craze for candidate merch ahead of electionsFrance 24 · 51m ago
- Brazil: Who is presidential candidate Flavio Bolsonaro?France 24 · 1h ago
- Paraguay, a tax and political haven for Brazil's far rightFrance 24 · 3h ago
- Brazil Consular Services Halted by US, Australia Before ElectionBloomberg · 3h ago
- What's real and what's fake? How AI is impacting Brazil's election raceFrance 24 · 5h ago
- U.S. Suspends Consular Services in Brazil on Eve of ElectionsThe New York Times · 5h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil pr…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
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