Will Risk It All – Bruno Mars be the top song in the US for 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 3.5¢
- Implied chance
- 3.5%
- Return if right
- 2757.1%
- Spread cost
- 48%
If you put in $100
You get 2857.1 shares at 3.5¢ each.
YES wins: $2857.14 back, a profit of $2757.14. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2548.26 of that profit. Without it you would make $5305.41.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.8¢
- Implied chance
- 99.8%
- Return if right
- 0.2%
- Spread cost
- 89%
If you put in $100
You get 100.2 shares at 99.8¢ each.
NO wins: $100.20 back, a profit of $0.20. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.68 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.88.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Risk It All – Bruno Mars4.3%
- Choosin Texas – Ella Langley89.0%
- Earrings – Malcom Todd4.9%
- Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy4.0%
- hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande2.5%
Latest: Aug 30, 12:31 AM5 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Risk It All – Bruno Mars be the top song in the US for …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song in the US for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the top song in the US of 2026. If multiple songs tie for top song in the US for 2026, this market will resolve according to the song whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify does not release who their top song in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Other outcomes in Top US Spotify Song 2026
- Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?
- Will Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars be the top song in the US for 2026?
- Will Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy be the top song in the US for 2026?
- Will Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo be the top song in the US for 2026?
- Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the top song in the US for 2026?
- Will Billie Jean – Michael Jackson be the top song in the US for 2026?
- Will APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars be the top song in the US for 2026?
- Will hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande be the top song in the US for 2026?
- Will Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson be the top song in the US for 2026?
- Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song in the US for 2026?
- Will Swim – BTS be the top song in the US for 2026?
- Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the top song in the US for 2026?