Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 85.5¢
- Implied chance
- 85.5%
- Return if right
- 17.0%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 117.0 shares at 85.5¢ each.
YES wins: $116.96 back, a profit of $16.96. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.31 of that profit. Without it you would make $18.27.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 16.4¢
- Implied chance
- 16.4%
- Return if right
- 509.8%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 609.8 shares at 16.4¢ each.
NO wins: $609.76 back, a profit of $509.76. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $37.49 of that profit. Without it you would make $547.25.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.