Will Ricardo Marques win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.0¢
- Implied chance
- 1.0%
- Return if right
- 9900.0%
- Spread cost
- 40%
If you put in $100
You get 10000.0 shares at 1.0¢ each.
YES wins: $10000.00 back, a profit of $9900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6666.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $16566.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.8¢
- Implied chance
- 99.8%
- Return if right
- 0.2%
- Spread cost
- 67%
If you put in $100
You get 100.2 shares at 99.8¢ each.
NO wins: $100.20 back, a profit of $0.20. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.60.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Ricardo Marques0.6%
- Fábio65.0%
- Dr. Helton10.0%
- Emanuel Cacho30.3%
- Valmir de Francisquinho16.0%
- Taty Cristina de Jesus5.1%
Latest: Aug 18, 03:26 AM
Latest news
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How this market resolves
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Other outcomes in Sergipe Governor Election Winner
- Will Taty Cristina de Jesus win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?
- Will Dr. Helton win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?
- Will Emanuel Cacho win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?
- Will Valmir de Francisquinho win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?
- Will Fábio win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?