Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 44.0¢
- Implied chance
- 44.0%
- Return if right
- 127.3%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 227.3 shares at 44.0¢ each.
YES wins: $227.27 back, a profit of $127.27. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.02 of that profit. Without it you would make $135.29.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 59.0¢
- Implied chance
- 59.0%
- Return if right
- 69.5%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 169.5 shares at 59.0¢ each.
NO wins: $169.49 back, a profit of $69.49. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.42 of that profit. Without it you would make $73.91.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 11, 08:35 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Minnesota primaries could mark change of path for Democrats and RepublicansThe Guardian · 53m ago
- Republicans name candidate to replace Chuck Edwards after sexual harassment investigationThe Guardian · 9h ago
- North Carolina Republicans pick ballot replacement for Rep. Chuck EdwardsThe Hill · 9h ago
- Deadline passes for embattled Republican Rep. Max Miller to drop off ballotABC News · 14h ago
- How the economy is hurting Republicans’ midterm chancesThe Washington Post · 16h ago
- Republican, Democratic strategists on controversial campaign funding ahead of midtermsCBS News · 20h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor electio…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.