Will Republicans sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 3.5¢
- Implied chance
- 3.5%
- Return if right
- 2757.1%
- Spread cost
- 34%
If you put in $100
You get 2857.1 shares at 3.5¢ each.
YES wins: $2857.14 back, a profit of $2757.14. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1398.18 of that profit. Without it you would make $4155.32.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.8¢
- Implied chance
- 98.8%
- Return if right
- 1.2%
- Spread cost
- 50%
If you put in $100
You get 101.2 shares at 98.8¢ each.
NO wins: $101.21 back, a profit of $1.21. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.19 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.41.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 20, 05:36 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Mike Lindell offers to fund recount in Minnesota Republican primary for governorThe Guardian · 8h ago
- Republican Senate candidate: Voters say 'it's embarrassing' to be from MinnesotaThe Hill · 6d ago
- Minnesota fraud scandal will haunt Flanagan in high-stakes Senate race, top House Republican warnsFox News · 7d ago
- Little wins Democratic primary for open Craig seat as Republicans eye flip in MinnesotaThe Hill · 8d ago
- 5 Things to Know About Michele Tafoya, Republican Senate Candidate in MinnesotaThe New York Times · 8d ago
- Minnesota primaries could mark change of path for Democrats and RepublicansThe Guardian · 9d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Republicans sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor ele…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Minnesota that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.