Will Real Sociedad finish first in UEL league phase?

Q: Will Real Sociedad finish first in UEL league phase?

Prediction markets currently price this at 2%. A YES share costs 2.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 4900.0% over 4.8mo.

UEFA Europa League: League Phase Winner$2k liquidity$1k volumecloses 4.8mo

UELSoccerSportsEuropa LeagueHide From New

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 2.0¢
Implied chance: 2.0%
Return if right: 4900.0%
Spread cost: 15%

If you put in $100

You get 5000.0 shares at 2.0¢ each.

YES wins: $5000.00 back, a profit of $4900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $882.35 of that profit. Without it you would make $5782.35.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 98.6¢
Implied chance: 98.6%
Return if right: 1.4%
Spread cost: 18%

If you put in $100

You get 101.4 shares at 98.6¢ each.

NO wins: $101.42 back, a profit of $1.42. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.31 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.73.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Oct 5, 06:40 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

LIVE: Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad – La LigaAl Jazeera · 1mo ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Real Sociedad finish first in UEL league phase?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes first in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish first in the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase is canceled or not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.