Will Ralph Norman win Richland County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 7.3¢
- Implied chance
- 7.3%
- Return if right
- 1269.9%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 1369.9 shares at 7.3¢ each.
YES wins: $1369.86 back, a profit of $1269.86. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $145.29 of that profit. Without it you would make $1415.15.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 94.1¢
- Implied chance
- 94.1%
- Return if right
- 6.3%
- Spread cost
- 11%
If you put in $100
You get 106.3 shares at 94.1¢ each.
NO wins: $106.27 back, a profit of $6.27. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.80 of that profit. Without it you would make $7.07.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Rep Ralph Norman calls Senate hiatus 'a slap in the face' while SAVE Act remains stalledFox News · 4d ago
- Ralph Norman suggests special GOP primary runoff rival Darline Graham is the establishment's chosen candidateFox News · 4d ago
- Mark Lynch endorses Ralph Norman as congressman heads into runoff against Darline GrahamFox News · 9d ago
- Darline Graham and Ralph Norman head to runoff in South Carolina's Republican Senate primaryCBS News · 10d ago
- South Carolina special Senate primary results: Darline Graham heads to Senate runoffABC News · 11d ago
- Darline Graham, Ralph Norman advance to runoff in South Carolina GOP Senate primaryCBS News · 11d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Ralph Norman win Richland County in the South Carolina …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Richland County in the Special Republican Primary Runoff for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Richland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Richland County.