Will Rachel Brosnahan win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 7.2¢
- Implied chance
- 7.2%
- Return if right
- 1288.9%
- Spread cost
- 24%
If you put in $100
You get 1388.9 shares at 7.2¢ each.
YES wins: $1388.89 back, a profit of $1288.89. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $412.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $1701.80.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 96.1¢
- Implied chance
- 96.1%
- Return if right
- 4.1%
- Spread cost
- 31%
If you put in $100
You get 104.1 shares at 96.1¢ each.
NO wins: $104.06 back, a profit of $4.06. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.82 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.88.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Rachel Brosnahan5.5%
- Julianne Moore35.5%
- Inde Navarrette17.0%
- Renate Reinsve13.5%
- Léa Seydoux4.5%
- Virginie Efira4.5%
Latest: Aug 10, 04:21 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Rachel Brosnahan win Best Actress at the 99th Academy A…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
- Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will Scarlett Johansson win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will Sandra Hüller win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will Sophie Okonedo win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will Virginie Efira win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will Michelle Williams win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will Léa Seydoux win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will Ruth Madeley win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?