Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 9.0¢
- Implied chance
- 9.0%
- Return if right
- 1011.1%
- Spread cost
- 35%
If you put in $100
You get 1111.1 shares at 9.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1111.11 back, a profit of $1011.11. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $555.56 of that profit. Without it you would make $1566.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.0¢
- Implied chance
- 97.0%
- Return if right
- 3.1%
- Spread cost
- 52%
If you put in $100
You get 103.1 shares at 97.0¢ each.
NO wins: $103.09 back, a profit of $3.09. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.29 of that profit. Without it you would make $6.38.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Dem senator turns ‘leader of the free world’ title on its head with Zelenskyy remarksFox News · 8h ago
- Burnham to take Zelenskyy’s pleas for Patriot missiles to Trump – as it happenedThe Guardian · 2d ago
- Ukraine’s allies convene in Kyiv as Zelenskyy seeks air defence boostAl Jazeera · 3d ago
- Zelenskyy repeats Ukraine not behind Nord Stream attackDeutsche Welle · 3d ago
- Zelenskyy says wartime elections could ‘destroy’ UkraineAl Jazeera · 4d ago
- Holding election in wartime would risk destroying Ukraine, says ZelenskyyThe Guardian · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.