Will Project Hail Mary win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 26.0¢
- Implied chance
- 26.0%
- Return if right
- 284.6%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 384.6 shares at 26.0¢ each.
YES wins: $384.62 back, a profit of $284.62. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7.54 of that profit. Without it you would make $292.16.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 75.0¢
- Implied chance
- 75.0%
- Return if right
- 33.3%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 133.3 shares at 75.0¢ each.
NO wins: $133.33 back, a profit of $33.33. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.89 of that profit. Without it you would make $34.23.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Project Hail Mary25.5%
- Dune: Part Three54.5%
- The Odyssey10.5%
- Godzilla Minus Zero10.1%
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day3.6%
- Avengers: Doomsday2.5%
Latest: Sep 26, 08:33 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Vatican to Submit a Film for Oscar Consideration, Making Academy Awards History (EXCLUSIVE)Variety · 10d ago
- New ‘Project Hail Mary’ Lego Set Recreates Film’s Spaceship in 830-Piece Collectible (Alongside a Minifigure Ryland Grace)Variety · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Project Hail Mary win Best Visual Effects at the 99th A…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner
- Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will The Odyssey win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will Godzilla Minus Zero win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will Avengers: Doomsday win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?