Will Professora Evany win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 11.0¢
- Implied chance
- 11.0%
- Return if right
- 809.1%
- Spread cost
- 44%
If you put in $100
You get 909.1 shares at 11.0¢ each.
YES wins: $909.09 back, a profit of $809.09. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $629.37 of that profit. Without it you would make $1438.46.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.0¢
- Implied chance
- 98.0%
- Return if right
- 2.0%
- Spread cost
- 71%
If you put in $100
You get 102.0 shares at 98.0¢ each.
NO wins: $102.04 back, a profit of $2.04. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $6.95.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Professora Evany6.5%
- Eduardo Braga18.5%
- Ismael Munduruku4.5%
- Capitão Alberto Neto44.5%
- Wilson Lima17.5%
- Evandro de Oliveira6.0%
Latest: Aug 18, 03:50 PM3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Professora Evany win the second-most votes in the 2026 …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Other outcomes in Amazonas Senate Election: 2nd Place
- Will Ismael Munduruku win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?
- Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?
- Will Wilson Lima win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?
- Will Eduardo Braga win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?
- Will Evandro de Oliveira win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?
- Will Xuxa do Amazonas win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?
- Will Plinio Valério win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?
- Will Dailson Corrêa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?