Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 61.0¢
- Implied chance
- 61.0%
- Return if right
- 63.9%
- Spread cost
- 14%
If you put in $100
You get 163.9 shares at 61.0¢ each.
YES wins: $163.93 back, a profit of $63.93. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $9.98 of that profit. Without it you would make $73.91.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 46.0¢
- Implied chance
- 46.0%
- Return if right
- 117.4%
- Spread cost
- 13%
If you put in $100
You get 217.4 shares at 46.0¢ each.
NO wins: $217.39 back, a profit of $117.39. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $17.90 of that profit. Without it you would make $135.29.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- How a five-second trick let traders drain millions from PolymarketCoinDesk · 3d ago
- Kalshi and Polymarket bets on clinical trials criticized as 'ghastly'NPR · 3d ago
- Polymarket traders see little chance of a Bitcoin breakout this monthYahoo Finance · 3d ago
- Polymarket Gives 18% Odds to a Tesla-SpaceX Merger Announcement in 2026Yahoo Finance · 5d ago
- Polymarket Seeks Investment at More Than $20B ValuationBloomberg · 5d ago
- Polymarket Chases $20 Billion Valuation as Exclusive ATP Streaming Deal Targets the Kalshi GapYahoo Finance · 6d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket has at least the specified daily mindshare, as shown on the Kaito Information Markets Arena page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released. The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.