Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 30.0¢
- Implied chance
- 30.0%
- Return if right
- 233.3%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 333.3 shares at 30.0¢ each.
YES wins: $333.33 back, a profit of $233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $17.54 of that profit. Without it you would make $250.88.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 73.0¢
- Implied chance
- 73.0%
- Return if right
- 37.0%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 137.0 shares at 73.0¢ each.
NO wins: $136.99 back, a profit of $36.99. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.87 of that profit. Without it you would make $39.86.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 03:29 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersHeadlines are matched on the names in “Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Phantom officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Phantom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.