Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?

Q: Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?

Prediction markets currently price this at 9%. A YES share costs 9.1¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 998.9% over 3.8mo.

The Game Awards: Game of the Year$205 liquidity$921 volumecloses 3.8mo

GamesAwardsCultureGame Awardsvideo games

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 9.1¢
Implied chance: 9.1%
Return if right: 998.9%
Spread cost: 45%

If you put in $100

You get 1098.9 shares at 9.1¢ each.

YES wins: $1098.90 back, a profit of $998.90. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $824.18 of that profit. Without it you would make $1823.08.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 98.7¢
Implied chance: 98.7%
Return if right: 1.3%
Spread cost: 76%

If you put in $100

You get 101.3 shares at 98.7¢ each.

NO wins: $101.32 back, a profit of $1.32. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.17 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.49.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 18, 12:39 AM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted1 further outcome not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Gam…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.