Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?

Q: Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?

Prediction markets currently price this at 47%. A YES share costs 47.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 112.8% over 9.9mo.

Next Mayor of Prague$1k liquidity$20 volumecloses 9.9mo

CzechiaMayoralPoliticsMain ElectionCzech ElectionGlobal Elections

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 47.0¢
Implied chance: 47.0%
Return if right: 112.8%
Spread cost: 55%

If you put in $100

You get 212.8 shares at 47.0¢ each.

YES wins: $212.77 back, a profit of $112.77. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $138.11 of that profit. Without it you would make $250.88.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 90.0¢
Implied chance: 90.0%
Return if right: 11.1%
Spread cost: 72%

If you put in $100

You get 111.1 shares at 90.0¢ each.

NO wins: $111.11 back, a profit of $11.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $28.75 of that profit. Without it you would make $39.86.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 1, 01:14 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in Czechia on October 9-10, 2026. The next mayor of Prague will be elected by the newly constituted council following the 2026 Czech municipal elections. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Prague following the 2026 Czech municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the city council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Czechia and Prague.

Source: https://www.volby.cz/